Brexit: Leave wins!

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Brexit vote: should the UK leave the EU or not?

Poll ended at Thu Jun 23, 2016 10:39 am

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MintyTheCat
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Re: Brexit: Leave wins!

Post by MintyTheCat »

Immryr wrote:Maybe you should have watched the video blinge posted on the last page, minty.
I shall give a watch.

The issue for me is less 'UK remain/leave' and more about how pissed off people are and how utterly let down people feel. I simply got bored of paying taxes for very little in return - I doubled my salary the moment I left the UK and thankfully salaries are taken more seriously in Germany and we have better employment law that protects the worker. So my thinking is more about how it reflects how fed up people are and how essentially the UK government took the piss for too long.

Either way it does not affect me personally as I left a long time ago, pay no tax to the UK and will not retire in the UK. I barely recognise the UK for how it has turned out. Standards need to improve, people need to have options and things need to become less hard going. If, let us say things had have been rosey then perhaps the EU vote would have gone the other way.

The reality of living in the UK these days is that it is quite expensive but many of the benefits of living in a wealthy country are kind of not realised: e.g. the level of crime is comparably high but we pay fairly high taxes and even fundamentals such as food and rent are quite costly. Something has to give eventually and it did.
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endoKarb
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Re: Brexit: Leave wins!

Post by endoKarb »

I'm glad, I'm very glad. The EU is a horrible and idiotic project, and this will likely speed up it's demise.
Let's hope more countries will follow suit in the near future.
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CIT
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Re: Brexit: Leave wins!

Post by CIT »

If anything, the referendum has only shown how deeply divided the United Kingdom is. Between those who benefit from the EU, young educated urban professionals (as well as formerly marginalised areas such as Scotland and NI) and those who don't, the old, uneducated suburban underclass, and need scapegoats for their troubles.

So what happens now?

The way I see it, there are two scenarios:

In scenario A the UK leaves, but keeps some kind of "close association" with the EU, in order not to loose access to the single market. Either the Norwegian model (join the EEA, implement nearly all EU legislation, pay membership fees) or the Swiss model (a series of bilateral treaties that are heavily skewed in favor of the larger market, e.g. Switzerland must implement a large part of EU legislation and accept the free movement of people). Either one is the "things won't really change that much" outcome. But this also means that, while nominally no longer part of the EU, none of the promises of Brexiteers will actually come true. Britain will still accept legislation from Brussels, but will have even less sovereignty, as it can no longer influence law-making.

In scenario B the UK leaves the EU outright, severing all ties, and trading according to WTO rules while trying to work out new trade deals — so the full Brexit package of regaining sovereignty and control. Nobody can say what the economic impact would be, but likely it wouldn't be pretty. Certainly it will dry up many science research projects in the UK (as they typically involve EU funding) and likely it would spark a large-scale move of the financial services industry to the EU. EU citizens in the UK and UK citizens in the EU may no longer be allowed residency. Furthermore it would almost certainly mean Scotland leaving the Union, possibly Northern Ireland too, and a likely loss of sovereignty over Gibraltar.

Either way, neither scenario seems like something the Brexiteers actually had in mind.
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Re: Brexit: Leave wins!

Post by Immryr »

MintyTheCat wrote:
Immryr wrote:Maybe you should have watched the video blinge posted on the last page, minty.
I shall give a watch.

The issue for me is less 'UK remain/leave' and more about how pissed off people are and how utterly let down people feel. I simply got bored of paying taxes for very little in return - I doubled my salary the moment I left the UK and thankfully salaries are taken more seriously in Germany and we have better employment law that protects the worker. So my thinking is more about how it reflects how fed up people are and how essentially the UK government took the piss for too long.

Either way it does not affect me personally as I left a long time ago, pay no tax to the UK and will not retire in the UK. I barely recognise the UK for how it has turned out. Standards need to improve, people need to have options and things need to become less hard going. If, let us say things had have been rosey then perhaps the EU vote would have gone the other way.

The reality of living in the UK these days is that it is quite expensive but many of the benefits of living in a wealthy country are kind of not realised: e.g. the level of crime is comparably high but we pay fairly high taxes and even fundamentals such as food and rent are quite costly. Something has to give eventually and it did.

EU membership is clearly not the cause of Britain's problems, and leaving it will certainly not fix them.
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Re: Brexit: Leave wins!

Post by neorichieb1971 »

Immryr wrote:
MintyTheCat wrote:
Immryr wrote:Maybe you should have watched the video blinge posted on the last page, minty.
I shall give a watch.

The issue for me is less 'UK remain/leave' and more about how pissed off people are and how utterly let down people feel. I simply got bored of paying taxes for very little in return - I doubled my salary the moment I left the UK and thankfully salaries are taken more seriously in Germany and we have better employment law that protects the worker. So my thinking is more about how it reflects how fed up people are and how essentially the UK government took the piss for too long.

Either way it does not affect me personally as I left a long time ago, pay no tax to the UK and will not retire in the UK. I barely recognise the UK for how it has turned out. Standards need to improve, people need to have options and things need to become less hard going. If, let us say things had have been rosey then perhaps the EU vote would have gone the other way.

The reality of living in the UK these days is that it is quite expensive but many of the benefits of living in a wealthy country are kind of not realised: e.g. the level of crime is comparably high but we pay fairly high taxes and even fundamentals such as food and rent are quite costly. Something has to give eventually and it did.

EU membership is clearly not the cause of Britain's problems, and leaving it will certainly not fix them.
This is true. Too many people believe that having control is some kind of mechanism to a better future. Thats like saying when my last boss was replaced with my new boss that everything was supposed to have gotten better (as proposed). But the reality is, the changes were hard, people lost their jobs and I'm not sure I want to work there anymore :roll:
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Re: Brexit: Leave wins!

Post by Skykid »

I could be wrong about this but I have a feeling loads of people woke up this morning, saw the headline and were like "oh fuck, I didn't think it would actually happen! What the hell are we going to do now!" :lol:
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Re: Brexit: Leave wins!

Post by Immryr »

Moscow's Mayor, Sergei Sobyanin, noted: "Without the UK in the EU, there's no one there who'll back sanctions against us so stridently."

great success!
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Re: Brexit: Leave wins!

Post by soprano1 »

Skykid wrote:I could be wrong about this but I have a feeling loads of people woke up this morning, saw the headline and were like "oh fuck, I didn't think it would actually happen! What the hell are we going to do now!" :lol:
I didn't fucking believe it.
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Re: Brexit: Leave wins!

Post by Burningvigor »

So unexpected.

What does this mean for the EU as a whole though? The UK is a pretty significant economic power house. Since they left the EU, will this hurt the countries like Greece who are lazy?
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Re: Brexit: Leave wins!

Post by Blinge »

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Re: Brexit: Leave wins!

Post by Durandal »

The machinations of the EU are so invisible and intangible to the common person that if it weren't for the Brexit referendum, most people would have never even thought about the EU
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Re: Brexit: Leave wins!

Post by BryanM »

Burningvigor wrote:Since they left the EU, will this hurt the countries like Greece who are lazy?
Greece isn't lazy, just weak.

Debt slavery is how the owner class extracts wealth from us slaves. Greece's condition is identical to Burkina Faso's or any other subjugated nation. If anyone should leave the EU and recover control over their country, it's places like them. In the short term it'll be a bitch, but in the long term it's the only way they can survive.

The royal class of greece such as Alexis Tsipras don't want to do this of course. If they did - they'd be assassinated if they're lucky. Or have their entire family transported to a sekrit underground rape+torture dungeon if they're not.

One hand washes the other. Please ignore the propaganda that tries to massage your hatred in certain directions.
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Re: Brexit: Leave wins!

Post by system11 »

Was very surprised when I saw the result this morning. Not happy about it. I wanted to see those numbers but reversed, staying in with a strong message that things needed to be fixed. Shit happens. There's already a petition for a second referendum and if you were to hold it tomorrow I think the result would be different with more people who couldn't be bothered to vote doing so, and the very obvious large anti-government protest vote being diminished.
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Re: Brexit: Leave wins!

Post by Bonus! »

system11 wrote:Was very surprised when I saw the result this morning. Not happy about it. I wanted to see those numbers but reversed, staying in with a strong message that things needed to be fixed. Shit happens. There's already a petition for a second referendum and if you were to hold it tomorrow I think the result would be different with more people who couldn't be bothered to vote doing so, and the very obvious large anti-government protest vote being diminished.
Of course the lefties are sore losers. Besides, EU officials urged for initiating separation talks like right about now, so any lefty wet dream about a second referendum will be just that.
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Re: Brexit: Leave wins!

Post by antron »

Skykid wrote:I could be wrong about this but I have a feeling loads of people woke up this morning, saw the headline and were like "oh fuck, I didn't think it would actually happen! What the hell are we going to do now!" :lol:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the- ... &tid=ss_tw
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Re: Brexit: Leave wins!

Post by system11 »

Bonus! wrote:
system11 wrote:Was very surprised when I saw the result this morning. Not happy about it. I wanted to see those numbers but reversed, staying in with a strong message that things needed to be fixed. Shit happens. There's already a petition for a second referendum and if you were to hold it tomorrow I think the result would be different with more people who couldn't be bothered to vote doing so, and the very obvious large anti-government protest vote being diminished.
Of course the lefties are sore losers. Besides, EU officials urged for initiating separation talks like right about now, so any lefty wet dream about a second referendum will be just that.
When I saw the age split statistics, I'd not be upset if the government tore up the ballot papers, they're not legally binding. A stake to the heart of democracy perhaps but there's a large number of people who won't live with the future they chose and I think that's .. wrong.
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Re: Brexit: Leave wins!

Post by Bonus! »

Right, let's ignore a clear majority because some of the idiots who today proclaimed "Tories out, refugees in" are afraid their safe spaces might shrink. There is as reason why we don't let kids vote. Imbeciles like that would be willing to wreck their country in the name of an absurd ideology.
https://www.rt.com/uk/347713-eu-referen ... ve-remain/
(reference to 20:06 entry)
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Re: Brexit: Leave wins!

Post by Burningvigor »

antron wrote:
Skykid wrote:I could be wrong about this but I have a feeling loads of people woke up this morning, saw the headline and were like "oh fuck, I didn't think it would actually happen! What the hell are we going to do now!" :lol:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the- ... &tid=ss_tw
Wow really?

But to be fair, I didn't know Brits were part of the EU for a long time... for some odd reason.
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Re: Brexit: Leave wins!

Post by Immryr »

Bonus! wrote:Right, let's ignore a clear majority because some of the idiots who today proclaimed "Tories out, refugees in" are afraid their safe spaces might shrink. There is as reason why we don't let kids vote. Imbeciles like that would be willing to wreck their country in the name of an absurd ideology.
https://www.rt.com/uk/347713-eu-referen ... ve-remain/
(reference to 20:06 entry)
51.9% to 48.1%...... yeah.... real clear majority......
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Re: Brexit: Leave wins!

Post by Bitter Almonds »

If the UK can secede from the EU, would it be possible to offload the south here in the US? I'm all for getting rid of all those useless "red" states. Someone needs to make this happen
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Re: Brexit: Leave wins!

Post by Mischief Maker »

Bitter Almonds wrote:If the UK can secede from the EU, would it be possible to offload the south here in the US? I'm all for getting rid of all those useless "red" states. Someone needs to make this happen
You mean build a wall and get them to pay for it?

We can make it happen! We're going to win!
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Re: Brexit: Leave wins!

Post by BulletMagnet »

Looks like the backpedaling on promises from the pro-exit leaders is already starting.
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Re: Brexit: Leave wins!

Post by Immryr »

it started at 8am.
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Re: Brexit

Post by moozooh »

MintyTheCat wrote:The reality is that the Upper Class in the UK have not been challenged for hundreds of years - unlike, Germany, Russia and even France.
I understand the reason for having Russia in that list, but relative to present times it is a largely misguided notion. Over the past 1.5 decades we have witnessed the formation of a new upper class that isn't just unchallenged—it's actually largely unchallengeable due to its corrupt ties with the government that is held together chiefly by avarice and fear. The examples are abound. And yeah—your upper class has nothing on our current upper class.

You Europeans may complain a lot but you have no idea how easy you have it in many ways—at least you're presented with working (evidently) democratic procedures that, if they fail, do so because of irresponsibility and ignorance rather than falsifications and denial of access. And your governments aren't openly imposing sanctions on your own people that no-one asked for—in addition to the stupid and ineffective policies they enact. And your officials, if they feel they have failed you, know how to step down on their own instead of holding out until the end of their term / until they're dead / until they're tried for bribes. And you aren't persecuted for voicing different opinions. And your country isn't at war while also pretending it isn't. Hell, you guys might as well be living in paradise because I clearly don't understand what exactly is better than what you guys currently have, or whether there has been an extended period of time where non-upper-class people have ever lived better. Maybe someone will care to tell me what's the best place to live in? I'm all ears!
Immryr wrote:Moscow's Mayor, Sergei Sobyanin, noted: "Without the UK in the EU, there's no one there who'll back sanctions against us so stridently."
...Yep, just like I said. EU is far from perfect, but as a political entity it has the largest pull, and it is the largest such entity that isn't being aggressive nor employing bullying tactics against other states. By weakening the EU you are shifting the balance of power in favor of the USA, China, and Russia. And neither of those need more power than they already have (especially with people like Putin and potentially Trump at their helms). We all still live in the same world, so having a higher fence won't solve any long-term problems. Considering the far majority of the UK's problems don't even stem from the EU membership as repeatedly said above, it seems like an all-around net loss in long term.
system11 wrote:When I saw the age split statistics, I'd not be upset if the government tore up the ballot papers, they're not legally binding. A stake to the heart of democracy perhaps but there's a large number of people who won't live with the future they chose and I think that's .. wrong.
It is a saddening (but at the same time enlightening) thing is that the procedure for referendums like this is decided on a simple majority. Direct democracy is great for settling really obvious things, but is very susceptible to irresponsible and/or misguided voting if the issue isn't remotely clear because 1) in pretty much every country in the world the majority of people of voting age aren't well-educated making them less likely to make an informed decision based on critical thinking; 2) the majority of people, naturally, only think of near-term consequences regardless of their demographics because humans are bad at thinking ahead and evaluating long-term risks. Which means that every controversial issue is extremely likely to receive the worse decision by default because the percentage of the population that gives the issue the amount of thought it deserves is so small they may as well not be asked at all. This is one of the pitfalls of democracy that is typically avoided by representation, so that there are always a smaller amount of well-informed people who are expected (and paid) to properly analyze every issue on behalf of the general populace and be accountable for their decisions.

A 52%/48% split like in this case tells us that the British society is very clearly—almost exactly in half—divided on the issue, that it is complicated and not at all obvious enough for a simple majority poll. (This is regardless of the notion/fact that some percentage of people allegedly voted to make a point rather than in pursuit of the actual results.) Which maybe calls for a more suitable decision instrument, but alas, for the UK that ship seems to have already sailed. :shrug:

Well, like our PM Medvedev has said to citizens of the now-Russian Crimea after telling them there's no money to send them, "Hang in there! Remain in good spirits... and health..."
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Re: Brexit: Leave wins!

Post by antron »

MintyTheCat wrote: The issue for me is less 'UK remain/leave' and more about how pissed off people are and how utterly let down people feel. I simply got bored of paying taxes for very little in return - I doubled my salary the moment I left the UK and thankfully salaries are taken more seriously in Germany and we have better employment law that protects the worker. So my thinking is more about how it reflects how fed up people are and how essentially the UK government took the piss for too long.

Either way it does not affect me personally as I left a long time ago, pay no tax to the UK and will not retire in the UK. I barely recognise the UK for how it has turned out. Standards need to improve, people need to have options and things need to become less hard going. If, let us say things had have been rosey then perhaps the EU vote would have gone the other way.

The reality of living in the UK these days is that it is quite expensive but many of the benefits of living in a wealthy country are kind of not realised: e.g. the level of crime is comparably high but we pay fairly high taxes and even fundamentals such as food and rent are quite costly. Something has to give eventually and it did.
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Re: Brexit: Leave wins!

Post by Skykid »

antron wrote:
Skykid wrote:I could be wrong about this but I have a feeling loads of people woke up this morning, saw the headline and were like "oh fuck, I didn't think it would actually happen! What the hell are we going to do now!" :lol:

http://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the- ... &tid=ss_tw

Yep! Exactly as I thought:

"Even though I voted to leave, this morning I woke up and I just — the reality did actually hit me," one woman told the news channel ITV News. "If I'd had the opportunity to vote again, it would be to stay."

Lol. Basically Britain is full of uneducated morons, no change there. They're a very rash bunch who tend to get caught up in the wave of what might be without ever considering what might actually be.

Now they no longer can live, work and travel freely between 27 countries that are mostly better than their own they're starting to get the pale face of realisation.

A second referendum would be wise. I predict the result would be overwhelmingly different. However, I still blame that egg headed bastard Cameron. He held the referendum to prove a point, not banking on the mass idiocy of his countrymen, and it backfired. Not everyone went to Eton Cameron, most of the voters don't even know what the EU is!

Anyway, he's scarpered to leave someone else to clean up the mess so he can be a millionaire and not have to worry about poor people anymore, while we can probably expect England football supporters to start singing retarded brexit songs in the quarter finals.
Last edited by Skykid on Sat Jun 25, 2016 4:37 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Brexit: Leave wins!

Post by moozooh »

The second referendum would just flush any pretense of national pride in the toilet, as well as outright confirm the Brits as being ludicrously irresponsible to the point where they can't even follow through with their own self-imposed decisions. Not a pleasant situation to find yourself in... the stigma would remain for generations.

Besides, I'm not sure EU would instantly welcome the dissenters back, especially after their economy took a huge blow overnight. Who'd profit from that?
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Re: Brexit: Leave wins!

Post by Skykid »

The saying "You've made.your bed, now you have to lie in it" has never been so apt.
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Re: Brexit: Leave wins!

Post by Ed Oscuro »

system11 wrote:
Bonus! wrote:
system11 wrote:Was very surprised when I saw the result this morning. Not happy about it. I wanted to see those numbers but reversed, staying in with a strong message that things needed to be fixed. Shit happens. There's already a petition for a second referendum and if you were to hold it tomorrow I think the result would be different with more people who couldn't be bothered to vote doing so, and the very obvious large anti-government protest vote being diminished.
Of course the lefties are sore losers. Besides, EU officials urged for initiating separation talks like right about now, so any lefty wet dream about a second referendum will be just that.
When I saw the age split statistics, I'd not be upset if the government tore up the ballot papers, they're not legally binding. A stake to the heart of democracy perhaps but there's a large number of people who won't live with the future they chose and I think that's .. wrong.
I was thinking about that generation split all day, but that's a good way of putting it. And you're not the only one to put it this way:
LONDON — As the bands played on at the Glastonbury music festival in Somerset, England, Lewis Phillips and his friends drowned their sorrows in song and alcohol.

“We’re the ones who’ve got to live with it for a long time, but a group of pensioners have managed to make a decision for us,” Mr. Phillips, 27, said on Friday of Britain’s decision to withdraw from the European Union. He said he was now “terrified” about the country’s economic prospects.
From the New York Times.

@ moozoh: Great points there too. I think the EU would want GB back, actually, and the economic case for the rest of the EU would be pretty good - the only British gain is that they've managed to make their exports more competitive. That still certainly doesn't counterbalance the blow to the integration project on an emotional level, or the harms to EU member nations from keeping the UK in.

But yes, I don't think Britain can go back in just yet. Cameron probably will be remembered as King Moron from here on out, an unfortunately final blot on the record of an otherwise decent PM (as far as the Tories go). As far as Farcical Nigel goes, well, I'm actually quite happy that he had the guts to come out and admit the 350M for health thing was completely mistaken at best. I'd be more impressed to see a Citizen (let alone President) Trump admit having gotten anything wrong, or anybody from the Bush Administration for that matter.

Edit:
http://community.xe.com/blog/xe-market- ... un-24-2016 (Asia)
[GBP, USD]
Cable bids at 1.3650 were reportedly in place early in the session, with rumors circulating the buyer may be the BoE, in an attempt to smooth price action. [...] Liquidity was brutally thin, and as a result, the pairing is likely to react sharply to one-off orders, which will likely be commonplace in the coming days, as global entities determine the fate of their U.K. holdings. Rumors of BoE "smoothing operations" continue, with perhaps the next support area coming at plus-or-minus 1.3600.
http://community.xe.com/blog/xe-market- ... un-24-2016 (North America)
[GBP, USD]
Sterling saw record-breaking losses as the UK opted for Brexit. Uncertainty now prevails. Will there be a general election (less than 200 of the 650 members of parliament supported Brexit)? Will Scotland and Northern Ireland vote to leave the UK (both having voted to remain part of the single market? What happens to investment, consumer spending etc during a "transition" period that could be more than two years? How long before the ratings agencies chop the UK's triple A status (S&P and Moody's issued informal warnings today)? What implications with this have on the broader European Project? Brexiters will celebrate their victory, but the near- to-medium term economic future is not looking bright for the UK. Risk-off positioning is likely to dominate for the foreseeable, with sterling to remain firmly under the cosh.
http://community.xe.com/blog/xe-market- ... un-24-2016 (Europe)
[GBP, USD]
GBP-USD down 8%, GBP-JPY down over 11%.. these are the magnitude of record-breaking sterling losses -- although a good way off its lows -- that are greeting London interbank participants as they take to their desks. The UK opted for Brexit and the only thing that will be certain now is uncertainty. Will PM Cameron invoke article 50 of the Lisbon Treaty, which will trigger a minimum two-year negotiation of exit terms? Will he resign? Will there be a general election (less than 200 of the 650 members of parliament supported Brexit)? What happens to investment, consumer spending etc during this "transition" period? How long before the ratings agencies chop the UK's triple A status? What implications with this have on the broader European Project? Brexiters will celebrate their victory, but the near- to-medium term economic future is not looking bright for the UK. Risk-off positioning is likely to dominate for the foreseeable.
Incidentally, I finally made a very long-delayed payment for shipping totaling 20,820 yen. I spent over $211 on that, which works out to a rate of something like 98 yen per dollar. If I'd caught it closer to the high of 106 yen to the dollar I'd only have spent $196.42, but I'm not that worried about it. (I'm not sure exactly how much PayPal might be skimming off for rate conversion; the 820 yen is the PayPal fee on a flat 20,000).
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Re: Brexit: Leave wins!

Post by Ed Oscuro »

http://www.ibtimes.com/texas-secession- ... 6?ft=95p2z
Well, was Brexit economic or just emotional? The day before the vote I was thinking that in our Federal system you don't get cross-state griping about the economy; people and companies just slide around, and states just try to offer the "best" deal.

But if Texas really wants to do this for emotional reasons, that'd be a different matter. They possibly couldn't do it even with votes, but...really, there goes the pendulum of history again.
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