Brexit: Leave wins!

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Brexit vote: should the UK leave the EU or not?

Poll ended at Thu Jun 23, 2016 10:39 am

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Bonus!
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Re: Brexit

Post by Bonus! »

tomwhite2004 wrote:Most of the major areas in the UK (up to 70%) are privatised so very little of the tax payers money goes any where near maintenance, selling it off in the first place was the issue.
Who is paying for the water then? If I'm informed correctly, the deal with selling off infrastructure is to hand over ownership to a private corporation and then pay said corporation for services. So, in the end, taxes are being used since the government is at the other end of the deal.
As for the housing stock, not sure where you travelled but on the whole its of a very high standard. Don't like those single panes of glass? Well, most are kept as its fitting with the older Victorian housing stock, most choose keep them original despite the many subsidies they could receive to replace them with double glazing.
I had friends in London whose landlord refused to even do basic repairs. One didn't even have heating in all rooms. The response was, essentially, that if she doesn't like it, she can move out. Note that we are talking about places in Central London, i.e. very expensive but sometimes apparently poorly maintained. This does not seem to apply to the very high end of the market.
I have worked for loads of companies where they have an entertainment budget, got to spend money to make or maintain the existing relationships. You would have to be a pretty shitty employer to expect your staff to pay for this on an individual basis.
Of course. However, it is one thing if it's a private employer, or a public institution.
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tomwhite2004
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Re: Brexit

Post by tomwhite2004 »

Sorry, don't know how to quote your reply to my quote!

1. Honestly, will have to read more, was under the assumption that any maintenance was paid for via profit of the company in question. Yes, the government received the money during the selloff but there is no way they are then going to put that back into the same system, they spent it all on lobster and champagne!

2. I have rented my whole life and you just have to do your homework and due diligence on landlords nowadays. No doubt the ever increasing house prices mean people can get away with lower standards as people become ever more desperate. However I would say that this is a relatively new phenomenon.
I hope that one day we can get a party in charge who is serious about investing in housing stock and addressing the shortage. Unfortunately both Labour and Conservative have been very poor in this respect over the past decades and its really starting to hurt the younger generation.

3. Not sure I agree, public institutions still need a form of expenses, they are essentially bound to the same standards and expectations as a private employer when it comes to maintaining relationships.

If nothing else, Brexit has made people more aware of the governance of the UK and Europe as a whole which can only be a good thing. Have had lots of good conversations with people who I normally would have never engaged with on the subject. I think this is why I want to be in the EU, you cant affect change of s system if you are no longer part of it, it will still affect us even if we leave.
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Re: Brexit

Post by Ceph »

Bonus! wrote:
Ceph wrote:Some facts to go with the fiction:
http://www.csaba.se/2016/06/06/reflecti ... the-movie/
That guy barely knows what he is talking about. Fun fact: high-ranking EU officials do indeed have an entertainment budget. This is something I know of because I just so happen to personally know some people rather high up in the EU hierarchy. When they "entertain" the CEO of some multinational corporation, they certainly don't pay this out of their own pocket.
Yes, that was wrong, but is far from the most important point of this quick rebuttal.

Especially funny: "What really matters is you should have the power to remove the people who govern you." - House of Lords, anyone? (LOL)

Some real food for thought: Cui bono?
Have a look at who wants the brexit and who made/financed this propaganda movie.
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Immryr
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Re: Brexit

Post by Immryr »

Other than the ridiculous click bait headline this article is decent.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/won ... _tw-bottom


Its very common sense stuff if you ask me, and I'm really not sure why a huge amount of people seem to not want to learn from the past. It's an obvious cycle... Politicians/bankers/whoever fucks up the economy, people get pissed off, immigrants get blamed for problems caused by politicians/bankers, right wing rises to power.
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Re: Brexit

Post by BulletMagnet »

Once again The Simpsons had it all along.
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Immryr
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Re: Brexit

Post by Immryr »

well the thread already seems dead but I have one more point.....

to the people saying that we would be fine and just set up a trade deal with the EU if we left and be in a similar position to Switzerland..... Switzerland still has to pay money to the EU and allow the free movement of EU citizens..... these seem to be two of the key points people voting leave are citing as problems. so if we leave and set up a trade deal similar to Switzerland we would still be paying money into the EU and we would still be getting migrants from EU states, but we would have no voting power within the EU. How does that seem better than the current situation?
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Re: Brexit

Post by Bonus! »

All of this can be negotiated separately. The situation in Switzerland is, as a matter of fact, much more complicated. It is not the case that citizens of every European country have the right to settle there. Run this through Google Translate:
https://www.sem.admin.ch/sem/de/home/th ... -efta.html
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Re: Brexit

Post by Ed Oscuro »

Immryr wrote:Other than the ridiculous click bait headline this article is decent.

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/won ... _tw-bottom


Its very common sense stuff if you ask me, and I'm really not sure why a huge amount of people seem to not want to learn from the past. It's an obvious cycle... Politicians/bankers/whoever fucks up the economy, people get pissed off, immigrants get blamed for problems caused by politicians/bankers, right wing rises to power.
Part of me almost wants to see it happen, like part of me wants to see a President Trump, so that we can have a few generations of people (perhaps) who are willing to say "yep, tried that, turned out pretty bad." But given our luck, we probably won't get Trump or a libertarian President or the Brexit, but the dream will live on, annoying the fuck out of everybody for decades to come. Or, we'll see the same pattern as Bush: Pretty universally agreed to be a bad thing, but make a few irrelevant tweaks to the same old formula, and ship it out in a new container. The part of the article about fascists in the '90s probably could have been expanded a bit to cover discredited political movements that, nevertheless, have morphed slightly to keep the dream alive - dismissing failures as a matter of personal style rather than a failure of vision and common sense.

I get the Brexit concerns, just like I get that Obamacare apparently has made things tough for some people. But that WaPo story has a really great line pointing out the idea that you can get all the good parts of the deal without any of the bad parts, i.e., without any responsibilities, without putting skin in the game. It cannot work; if everybody simply did everything to maximize their own interest, suddenly the whole system stops working. I forget who said it, but it's the same deal as with the stock market - if you've figured out the best routine to play the market, if everybody else does it too, at some point you'd have to start doing the opposite. I don't want to be dismissive to Brexit supporters but this does seem to be what it boils down to.

Aside from the overly zealous zero-sum thinking this implies, I think we'd all be better off just focusing more on the specific bugbears in the system. Brussels bureaucracy too costly? Then talk about that. A UK steel works can't get projects on the Continent due to hidden protectionism (this was an allegation in yesterday's NPR Marketplace show segment on Brexit)? Well, the UK better focus on that issue, but how can a politician focus on that when the entire system is under fire?

A final analogy, from software. One developer joked to an extreme FOSS partisans that they were useful to him because the extremists, with their "our way or the highway" attitude, scared big businesses and made pragmatic middle-of-the-road open source look appealing by comparison. Unfortunately, with the Brexit campaign, there isn't an obvious more appealing alternative, nor one customer to persuade; inevitably this talk gets into the macro issues, facing an entire electorate. For any individual, either the status quo helps you or it doesn't, and so talking about the entire system as it is, rather than as it could be, does not let the Art of the Deal happen. The "big picture" is distracting from the many small issues that should be hammered out to make the single market work better. Worse still, if you think that politicians and big interests are out to get you, by threatening to pull out of the entire project, rather than making specific demands, they can talk about the good in the system, while ignoring the bad. This is exactly what I saw happening with Occupy Wall Street. To be sure, as a Bernie supporter I know you need to bring the heat, but it has to be on believable issues.
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Re: Brexit

Post by system11 »

tomwhite2004 wrote: I hope that one day we can get a party in charge who is serious about investing in housing stock and addressing the shortage. Unfortunately both Labour and Conservative have been very poor in this respect over the past decades and its really starting to hurt the younger generation.
It's hurting everyone already - try living in the south east.

People will take anything and they'll pay through the nose for it.
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Re: Brexit

Post by tomwhite2004 »

system11 wrote:
tomwhite2004 wrote: I hope that one day we can get a party in charge who is serious about investing in housing stock and addressing the shortage. Unfortunately both Labour and Conservative have been very poor in this respect over the past decades and its really starting to hurt the younger generation.
It's hurting everyone already - try living in the south east.

People will take anything and they'll pay through the nose for it.
Yeah, saying its "starting" to hurt only the young isn't true, it effects everyone. Sorry, poorly worded / thought out.

I do live in the south east and pay a huge proportion of my wage on rent, I know first hand how hard it can be to find somewhere decent.
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Re: Brexit

Post by MintyTheCat »

tomwhite2004 wrote:
system11 wrote:
tomwhite2004 wrote: I hope that one day we can get a party in charge who is serious about investing in housing stock and addressing the shortage. Unfortunately both Labour and Conservative have been very poor in this respect over the past decades and its really starting to hurt the younger generation.
It's hurting everyone already - try living in the south east.

People will take anything and they'll pay through the nose for it.
Yeah, saying its "starting" to hurt only the young isn't true, it effects everyone. Sorry, poorly worded / thought out.

I do live in the south east and pay a huge proportion of my wage on rent, I know first hand how hard it can be to find somewhere decent.
Yes, my findings too: the UK's level of rent is simply not inline with most people's level of income and what I found was that many people claimed working tax credit - which is a fudge if ever there was one in my book.

I see it being more over that every one - starting with the young, who often do not know much better due to having not paid bills and rent as long as more senior members, find themselves really at the short end of things and what's worse is that no one particularly does much to improve the situation.

All I hear is some vague, half hearted 'promise' that the youth will receive useful training - unlikely, they have already relegated higher education to people who can either take on a fairly large debt or who simply do not need to worry about the costs of higher education - so you essentially make the problem one for the state to work out as fewer people will look to attain degrees and thereby relax the unemployment figures/etc.

It feels very much so "up shit creek without a paddle" and I barely recognise England as being the country I was raised in - the conditions are simply too difficult these days, prices are far, far too high, standards are low, level of quality just isn't there and you have next to no assurance - a German rental contract to all intents and purposes is worth more than a UK mortgage I would say, then you hear how amazing the UK is doing - I just don't see it.

What a mess and I'm bloody glad I left the UK, but I do miss it all the same.
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Re: Brexit

Post by Tregard »

I live in the UK but spend a lot of time each year in China with my wife's family. I'm gearing up to move out there for good because every time I come back I realise what an absurdly expensive, miserable, inward-looking, bankrupt, crumbling shithole the UK is.
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Re: Brexit

Post by MintyTheCat »

Tregard wrote:I live in the UK but spend a lot of time each year in China with my wife's family. I'm gearing up to move out there for good because every time I come back I realise what an absurdly expensive, miserable, inward-looking, bankrupt, crumbling shithole the UK is.
Good man. Yes, for many of us it is better to simply 'move on' and the UK if anything suffers from a brain-drain at present due to many folks leaving.

Best of luck to you.
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Re: Brexit

Post by Ed Oscuro »

I just had a look at property prices in the UK - Crisis in the Castle, holy mackerel! This is a case of being damned either way: If nothing changes things will still be absurdly expensive, but on the flip side, the Brexit should cause these prices to be slashed, and thus homeowners would lose a lot of their home equity.
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Re: Brexit

Post by MintyTheCat »

Ed Oscuro wrote:I just had a look at property prices in the UK - Crisis in the Castle, holy mackerel! This is a case of being damned either way: If nothing changes things will still be absurdly expensive, but on the flip side, the Brexit should cause these prices to be slashed, and thus homeowners would lose a lot of their home equity.
They are way beyond earnings for most people and not inline with anything sensible. A lot of this boils down to a british obsession with owning property at any cost and not renting - for a very long time renting was regarded as being something that only the 'lower classes' would partake in until prices just went up but for years most people rented form the State until they began to sell off lots of government owned rental properties in the very late 1980s to early 1990s when, as today, it was mostly private Landlords. Conversely in Germany and France people tend to rent and what's more the rules and regulations for the rental market are well developed and the market is fairly well regulated - this is the exact opposite of what you will find in the UK where Landlords can essentially charge what they like and many do.

Property along with immigration is a very hot topic in the UK and to be honest I have not seen any real steps taken to resolve the issue. Indeed, how many of the Brits who happen to be on this forum just happen not to reside in the UK? Surely that is an indication of how willing some of us are NOT to live in the UK and house prices and the high cost of rent coupled with, it has to be said, far too low wages, lack of free and affordable higher education - degrees, Masters, etc., act to make leaving attractive for many Brits who are willing to take a chance.
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Re: Brexit

Post by neorichieb1971 »

I'm paying through the arse for my mortgage. I remember when 30% or thereabouts was a good % of your income to put on rent/mortgage. Mine is way over 50% and if it wasn't for my wife working 2 jobs I wouldn't have a pot to piss in.

But anyway, I'm been told i'm wrong but I'll describe my feelings on BREXIT.

The government wants to stay in, almost every official past and present wants to stay. They use "money" as their political leverage to make you think twice before leaving. But that leaves a sour taste in my mouth because I see it as nothing more than a bribe. Its like saying "have the money you got now and we will tackle that immigration problem your talking about best we can".

However, I'm saddened to read time and again that the current government is so obsessed with staying in. There is a part of me that says they should be saying they will do the utmost best even if we vote out. But those words are not even been spoken. When the current government states we will be worse off post BREXIT and its the same government going to be "in" post BREXIT, that shit worries me. Its like they saying "Fail" before they even tried. I don't even know if they realize that is the message they are sending people.

Politicians are rubbish anyway. I've never heard of a politician that gets the same praise as Michael Jordan or Ronaldo in their respective jobs. When is the last time you heard a politician was worthy of the history books?
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Re: Brexit

Post by Ed Oscuro »

An interesting fact about US and UK home ownership rates is that they're virtually identical now. The US rate has fallen a few points from a high of 69% at the peak of the housing bubble. Of course this totally obscures all the complexity of the market so I'm not sure how useful that metric is. It'd also be too easy to try and break this down, but I suppose one sensible guess is that the US home prices are half that of the UK given the extensive land and areas with passable infrastructure here. On the other hand, there is this interesting graph of the age breakdown of UK homeowners (shame about the color coding job though). It makes sense that the youngest homeowners would be a minority given economic changes, but I wonder how much of the apparent growth of the 65+ homeowning segment is due to natural age growth, and how much is due to retirement planning.

I get the silliness of trying to own property at any costs, but on the other hand, if you can get it it is a great relief - nevermind taxes, easements, and random tree related nuisances and especially the famous UK shoebox-sized garden; I'm not sure how happy I'd be with those. Of course then there is the Rob Roy example from Scotland: Tons of open space but almost none of it open to development. Is that a good or bad thing? My love of the wild says good, but you'd bet I'd choose to develop a bit of space rather than live listening to my neighbor's china clinking.

@ richie: That is basically my concern as well, but I come at it this way: One person says this is good for shining a light on the sausage making in politics, but another can say that official fearmongering stifles that conversation. I think it's a bit of both at the same time. However I would say this - if I was a British politician you'd bet I'd be fearmongering about the Brexit because it seems no good would come of it. However I would also try to do whatever possible to make clear that's not just a pretext to drop the troubling issues.
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Re: Brexit

Post by MintyTheCat »

Ed Oscuro wrote: @ richie: That is basically my concern as well, but I come at it this way: One person says this is good for shining a light on the sausage making in politics, but another can say that official fearmongering stifles that conversation. I think it's a bit of both at the same time. However I would say this - if I was a British politician you'd bet I'd be fearmongering about the Brexit because it seems no good would come of it. However I would also try to do whatever possible to make clear that's not just a pretext to drop the troubling issues.
http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-politics-eu- ... m-36509931

This is basically what they are using to hold people in fear: lose money on your property, lose you pension, etc. None of them discuss any 'ideas' it is just - "no". Arrogant all the same and coming from Cameron who's nothing more than an Upper Class toff tends to piss the rest of us off.

We've all had the false, empty promises and we've had the threats now. Either way it is a mess and things need to be sorted out.
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Re: Brexit

Post by PAPER/ARTILLERY »

Would it be possible to add a poll to the top of the thread so we can do our own ahead of voting day? Just curious to see which way the forum is inclined.
Last edited by PAPER/ARTILLERY on Tue Jun 14, 2016 4:46 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Brexit

Post by MintyTheCat »

PAPER/ARTILLERY wrote:Would it be possible to add a poll to the top of the thread so we can do our own ahead of voting day? Just curious to see which way the forum is inclined.

Sent from my SM-N910F using Tapatalk
I can have a look to see if this is possible but have not tried that before - where is Atheistgod when you need him eh? :)

Edit: ok, I have added a poll. Can you think of any other questions to add or should I remove or reword them?

Edit 2: I removed the other questions to keep simple:
  • Do you worry about the UK leaving the EU?
    Will leaving the EU damage the UK economy mid-term?
    Will leaving the EU damage the UK economy long-term?
    Will leaving the EU increase the cost of living in the UK?
    Will leaving the EU force people to retire later?
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Re: Brexit

Post by Xyga »

Voted remain mainly because I fear a brutal leave might have negative consequences for everyone.
Leaving the EU should be possible only through a thorough and long-enough process, just like for joining, I say.
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Re: Brexit

Post by MintyTheCat »

Xyga wrote:Voted remain mainly because I fear a brutal leave might have negative consequences for everyone.
Leaving the EU should be possible only through a thorough and long-enough process, just like for joining, I say.
But you reside in France so you would say that, I voted as a Brit :D
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Re: Brexit

Post by Xyga »

A major member leaving will have consequences for everyone, it's not just about one country.
Slightly far-fetched but it's a bit like organ removal surgery, the whole body will be affected.
I can't tell what good or bad things will happen exactly, it's a first anyway (that in itself scares the EU the most I think), but don't go imagining other people around the EU aren't split on the matter, most French don't have much to say now, but don't be deceived they're definitely paying a lot of attention to this, because that makes them think about their own (big) problems and their place within the Union.
Catalunya is probably the most anxious about the results, and most supportive of the 'leave' right now.
Actually I wouldn't be surprised to see a pan-EU referendum, whether it's about the UK or any other country, achieve a close 50-50.
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Re: Brexit

Post by Immryr »

MintyTheCat wrote:
Xyga wrote:Voted remain mainly because I fear a brutal leave might have negative consequences for everyone.
Leaving the EU should be possible only through a thorough and long-enough process, just like for joining, I say.
But you reside in France so you would say that, I voted as a Brit :D

you reside in Germany....



I'm guessing from what you've said you voted to leave.... so your logic goes something like this...

UK sucks so I'm moving to Germany (an EU state)
Germany is great
to make the UK great once again, we should leave the EU


doesn't really add up to me.
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Re: Brexit

Post by Bonus! »

Xyga wrote:A major member leaving will have consequences for everyone, it's not just about one country.
Slightly far-fetched but it's a bit like organ removal surgery, the whole body will be affected.
Let's say it's like removing metastasizing cancer (cancer = EU, for the dimwitted). Once it is all gone, there is no guarantee that you'll survive, but you'll certainly die if you don't fight it.
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Re: Brexit

Post by Xyga »

Lol.
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Re: Brexit

Post by MintyTheCat »

Immryr wrote:
MintyTheCat wrote:
Xyga wrote:Voted remain mainly because I fear a brutal leave might have negative consequences for everyone.
Leaving the EU should be possible only through a thorough and long-enough process, just like for joining, I say.
But you reside in France so you would say that, I voted as a Brit :D

you reside in Germany....



I'm guessing from what you've said you voted to leave.... so your logic goes something like this...

UK sucks so I'm moving to Germany (an EU state)
Germany is great
to make the UK great once again, we should leave the EU


doesn't really add up to me.
Nice try - wrong.

UK is the UK and I am an Engineer - plus, Germany has better cakes and chocolate and coffee, etc. and many of the nice Ladies still wear fishnet stockings - which is a definite 'plus' by my parlance - so the choice was not too difficult :lol: Plus, you cannot speak much German over in the UK or to be honest much of anything unless it is English so it 'broadens the mind' to leave let's say.

Besides, I have lived in Germany now for so long that I dare say I could claim citizenship and I certainly have long-term residency so it is pretty much 'egal' to me either way.

I vote for what I feel is better for the UK even if it is not better for me personally. Germany is better for me which is why I moved of my own will but for the UK it should have another chance to rule itself. You would have to understand the "better for others" concept that I understand to work that one out, chum.
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Re: Brexit

Post by neorichieb1971 »

I have company shares where I work. They have lost £2 in the past 2 weeks due to this (£19 - £17). So the threat of losing money is real, at least in the short term.

If we leave, the British top class will ruin the country all by themselves due to one very big reason.

They will throw money at everything like they always do. And simply put its the hard work behind that money that does the business. Without the hard work you can throw trillions at something and nothing will be done about it. When the UK gets a grasp of what "hard work" is, then our country will be better for it.

As it stands, the UK is mostly made up of people who want to sell things online and watch the cash roll in.
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Re: Brexit

Post by Xyga »

neorichieb1971 wrote:So the threat of losing money is real, at least in the short term.
Do any of you have any doubt about that anyway ?
Like for instance, maybe some of you thought the subsidies were only about farming and fishing ?
The UK definitely will have to kiss goodbye a lot of good things, it'll cost you for sure, the real question is how much time it will take to redo agreements and regulations, and get back on your feet to bring your own flow of money back into the country.
You people just have to believe you can do it, the driving force is not everything but it's crucial.

However, if it fails miserably and after several years the UK ends up losing many places in the 'cuntry GDP ranking' and it's the Dark Ages again, well, in this case you'd better be prepared for the "lol we fucking told you" omnirape.
Some possible future scenarios include a massive transfer of capital towards the continent, among several major EU places cities like Paris - in an ironic twist - would benefit greatly from it and France would get back its 2nd place in EU and 5th in the world in no time.
So if you leave the UK a possible consequence would be to make the French even more annoying than before.
Can you withstand such horrible fate ? :mrgreen:

Oh and: http://www.bbc.com/news/uk-england-36550304
See people, among the pro-leave you may have people who make interesting points, but you also have real fascist cretins like that guy who shot (edit: and stabbed!) a woman shouting 'Britain First'.
Just a reminder; one of the main purposes behind the EU was to never again let assholes like him be the image and inspiration for any of us people, and leaving aside all the political circus and history of defiance between the islands and the continent, it's certainly the UK who fought the hardest for the right ideals.
This time though, if the criticism (against the EU) definitely deserves to be heard by everyone, the actual fight the UK picked here and what could result of it in a few days, could happen for the wrong reasons (xenophobia, racism, nationalism) instead of the legitimate (fucking enough of the EU's authoritarian bureaucratic nonsense/bullshit).
Last edited by Xyga on Thu Jun 16, 2016 5:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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waiwainl
Posts: 470
Joined: Tue Jun 24, 2014 9:23 am
Location: Netherlands

Re: Brexit

Post by waiwainl »

Saw a UK Farmer on the news, strongly in favor of leaving EU. It struck me that he does not realize that at least 60% of his revenue is due to EU subsidies.

How does the British government plan to cover this? If not, those farmers are bankrupt quite soon.
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