Skykid wrote:The Chinese will expand their military reach regardless of disputes over landmasses - and there are several onging, including waters around the Philippines and Vietnam. Any country with cash in the bank always puts their national security/military fortification in the largest spending bracket and continues to expand while cash flow remains stable. That's a normal process.
Indeed. The issue is that China is dumping sand in the ocean and calling it land, giving the rest of the world great cause for concern over how it treats maritime and air traffic in those areas. When the war does start, it will be over this, and like I said earlier it's not going to be a total war, pretty much just a skirmish. After that there'll be some talks at the UN and such, and beyond that it's anyone's guess.
Keep in mind you are talking to someone who breathes and lives the South China Sea, quite literally. Maybe this does cause me to read too deep into things, but at the same time, in a less economically codependent age, the war would've started a long time ago.
It's not about young people with no skills, it's about an ageing population who can't undertake critical work to sustain a healthy economy. Everything from business to construction, to slave labour to McDonald's requires energy to maintain. The issue is that Japan is dangerously low on birth rate and a vast proportion of people have one foot in the grave. Without a baby boom you have a generational gap that will have enormous ramifications on industry and the development of new business.
Obviosuly I am not saying that Japan will be able to grow like it did before without significant population growth: the question is if it should. As it is they are mostly being utilized for their specialized manufacturing in terms of global trade: they aren't really in the mass produced electronics race like they used to be. They are doing just fine with that and in terms of domestic labor they still have enough young people to sustain for the time being.
I am failing to see how this is so dire when all it would realistically take to reverse course is controlled immigration and economic incentives to raise children (as I understand it, they have already started to do this). In any case, if they don't think sustaining economic growth is worth replacing a significant portion of their population, then so be it.